Ruch Chorzów vs Stal Rzeszów: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Gliwice
The Footlab model makes Ruch Chorzów the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Stal Rzeszów. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ruch Chorzów vs Stal Rzeszów?
Ruch Chorzów starts as the favourite with a 139-point Elo edge (1,862 vs 1,723).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ruch Chorzów have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Stal Rzeszów have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Stal Rzeszów(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Lechia Gdansk(home) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Polonia Warszawa(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Miedz Legnica(home) | 0-2 | I Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Nieciecza(away) | 0-2 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Ruch Chorzów(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stal Mielec(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Arka Gdynia(away) | 0-4 | I Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(home) | 1-5 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Ruch Chorzów win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Stal Rzeszów win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Stal Rzeszów 0-1 Ruch Chorzów | I Liga |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Stal Rzeszów 0-1 Ruch Chorzów | I Liga |
| Aug 20, 2025 | Ruch Chorzów 4-0 Stal Rzeszów | I Liga |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Ruch Chorzów 3-0 Stal Rzeszów | I Liga |
| Oct 21, 2024 | Stal Rzeszów 0-2 Ruch Chorzów | I Liga |
| Jul 8, 2023 | Ruch Chorzów 1-1 Stal Rzeszów | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Stal Rzeszów vs Ruch Chorzów on Aug 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ruch Chorzów score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Stal Rzeszów score 1.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ruch Chorzów | 1.2 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Stal Rzeszów | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ruch Chorzów sit 10th in I Liga (7 points from 5 matches) and Stal Rzeszów sit 18th (2 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Ruch Chorzów | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| 18 | Stal Rzeszów | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ruch Chorzów vs Stal Rzeszów?
- The Footlab model makes Ruch Chorzów the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Stal Rzeszów.
- Where and when is Ruch Chorzów vs Stal Rzeszów played?
- Ruch Chorzów vs Stal Rzeszów is played on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 27, 2027Arka GdyniavsMiedz Legnica
- Feb 27, 2027Chrobry GłogówvsWarta Poznań
- Feb 27, 2027Odra OpolevsPodbeskidzie
- Feb 27, 2027Stal MielecvsŁKS Łódź
- Feb 27, 2027Pogoń SiedlcevsLechia Gdansk
- Feb 27, 2027Unia SkierniewicevsPuszcza Niepołomice
- Feb 27, 2027Pogoń Grod. MazowieckivsPolonia Bytom
- Feb 27, 2027Polonia WarszawavsNieciecza