Stal Mielec vs ŁKS Łódź: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Lato, Mielec
The Footlab model makes ŁKS Łódź the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Stal Mielec. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stal Mielec vs ŁKS Łódź?
A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Stal Mielec (1,821) and ŁKS Łódź (1,898).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stal Mielec have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; ŁKS Łódź have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź(away) | 0-4 | I Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Polonia Bytom(home) | 5-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stal Rzeszów(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Podbeskidzie(home) | 3-3 | I Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Unia Skierniewice(away) | 2-1 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Stal Mielec(home) | 4-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nieciecza(home) | 2-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(home) | 1-2 | I Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Polonia Bytom(home) | 2-1 | I Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Pogoń Siedlce(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Stal Mielec win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 ŁKS Łódź win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź 4-0 Stal Mielec | I Liga |
| Feb 23, 2026 | Stal Mielec 1-2 ŁKS Łódź | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2025 | ŁKS Łódź 2-0 Stal Mielec | I Liga |
| Jul 6, 2024 | ŁKS Łódź 3-1 Stal Mielec | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 25, 2024 | ŁKS Łódź 3-2 Stal Mielec | Ekstraklasa |
| Feb 28, 2024 | Stal Mielec 1-0 ŁKS Łódź | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: ŁKS Łódź vs Stal Mielec on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stal Mielec score 2.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; ŁKS Łódź score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stal Mielec | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
| ŁKS Łódź | 1.9 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stal Mielec sit 7th in I Liga (8 points from 5 matches) and ŁKS Łódź sit 3rd (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | ŁKS Łódź | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 10 |
| 7 | Stal Mielec | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stal Mielec vs ŁKS Łódź?
- The Footlab model makes ŁKS Łódź the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Stal Mielec.
- Where and when is Stal Mielec vs ŁKS Łódź played?
- Stal Mielec vs ŁKS Łódź is played on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Lato, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 27, 2027Arka GdyniavsMiedz Legnica
- Feb 27, 2027Chrobry GłogówvsWarta Poznań
- Feb 27, 2027Odra OpolevsPodbeskidzie
- Feb 27, 2027Pogoń SiedlcevsLechia Gdansk
- Feb 27, 2027Ruch ChorzówvsStal Rzeszów
- Feb 27, 2027Unia SkierniewicevsPuszcza Niepołomice
- Feb 27, 2027Pogoń Grod. MazowieckivsPolonia Bytom
- Feb 27, 2027Polonia WarszawavsNieciecza