Match

Stal Mielec vs ŁKS Łódź: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Lato, Mielec

Stal MielecŁKS Łódź

The Footlab model makes ŁKS Łódź the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Stal Mielec. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stal Mielec vs ŁKS Łódź?

A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Stal Mielec (1,821) and ŁKS Łódź (1,898).

Stal Mielec win37 %
Draw25 %
ŁKS Łódź win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stal Mielec have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; ŁKS Łódź have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stal Mielec
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026ŁKS Łódź(away)0-4I Liga
Aug 16, 2026Polonia Bytom(home)5-2I Liga
Aug 8, 2026Stal Rzeszów(home)1-1I Liga
Aug 2, 2026Podbeskidzie(home)3-3I Liga
Jul 26, 2026Unia Skierniewice(away)2-1I Liga
ŁKS Łódź
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Stal Mielec(home)4-0I Liga
Aug 16, 2026Nieciecza(home)2-1I Liga
Aug 9, 2026Chrobry Głogów(home)1-2I Liga
Jul 31, 2026Polonia Bytom(home)2-1I Liga
Jul 25, 2026Pogoń Siedlce(away)1-1I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Stal Mielec win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 ŁKS Łódź win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026ŁKS Łódź 4-0 Stal MielecI Liga
Feb 23, 2026Stal Mielec 1-2 ŁKS ŁódźI Liga
Aug 15, 2025ŁKS Łódź 2-0 Stal MielecI Liga
Jul 6, 2024ŁKS Łódź 3-1 Stal MielecFriendlies Clubs
May 25, 2024ŁKS Łódź 3-2 Stal MielecEkstraklasa
Feb 28, 2024Stal Mielec 1-0 ŁKS ŁódźEkstraklasa

Last archived meeting: ŁKS Łódź vs Stal Mielec on Aug 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Stal Mielec score 2.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; ŁKS Łódź score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Stal Mielec2.11.9013/1512/15
ŁKS Łódź1.91.3211/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Stal Mielec sit 7th in I Liga (8 points from 5 matches) and ŁKS Łódź sit 3rd (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3ŁKS Łódź531110510
7Stal Mielec522111118

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stal Mielec vs ŁKS Łódź?
The Footlab model makes ŁKS Łódź the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Stal Mielec.
Where and when is Stal Mielec vs ŁKS Łódź played?
Stal Mielec vs ŁKS Łódź is played on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Lato, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Stal Mielec and ŁKS Łódź

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