Match

Chrobry Głogów vs Warta Poznań: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion GOS, Głogów

Chrobry GłogówWarta Poznań

The Footlab model makes Chrobry Głogów the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Warta Poznań. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chrobry Głogów vs Warta Poznań?

A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Chrobry Głogów (1,855) and Warta Poznań (1,884).

Chrobry Głogów win38 %
Draw26 %
Warta Poznań win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chrobry Głogów have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Warta Poznań have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chrobry Głogów
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Warta Poznań(home)0-1I Liga
Aug 15, 2026Podbeskidzie(home)1-1I Liga
Aug 9, 2026ŁKS Łódź(away)2-1I Liga
Aug 3, 2026Odra Opole(home)0-1I Liga
Jul 25, 2026Stal Rzeszów(away)5-1I Liga
Warta Poznań
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Chrobry Głogów(away)1-0I Liga
Aug 15, 2026Odra Opole(away)1-3I Liga
Aug 9, 2026Nieciecza(away)2-1I Liga
Aug 5, 2026Resovia Rzeszów(home)0-1Cup
Jul 31, 2026Lechia Gdansk(away)3-0I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Chrobry Głogów win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Warta Poznań win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Chrobry Głogów 0-1 Warta PoznańI Liga
Jul 11, 2026Chrobry Głogów 3-1 Warta PoznańFriendlies Clubs
Feb 1, 2026Chrobry Głogów 3-3 Warta PoznańFriendlies Clubs
May 11, 2025Chrobry Głogów 2-1 Warta PoznańI Liga
Nov 3, 2024Warta Poznań 1-0 Chrobry GłogówI Liga
Jun 29, 2024Warta Poznań 1-0 Chrobry GłogówFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Chrobry Głogów vs Warta Poznań on Aug 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chrobry Głogów score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Warta Poznań score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chrobry Głogów1.51.6012/1510/15
Warta Poznań1.71.659/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chrobry Głogów sit 8th in I Liga (7 points from 5 matches) and Warta Poznań sit 6th (9 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Warta Poznań53021089
8Chrobry Głogów5212857

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chrobry Głogów vs Warta Poznań?
The Footlab model makes Chrobry Głogów the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Warta Poznań.
Where and when is Chrobry Głogów vs Warta Poznań played?
Chrobry Głogów vs Warta Poznań is played on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion GOS, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Chrobry Głogów and Warta Poznań

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