Armenia vs Cyprus: prediction and stats
UEFA Nations League5Kick-off on November 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Vazgen Sargsyan anvan Hanrapetakan Marzadasht, Yerevan
The Footlab AI model makes Armenia the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Cyprus. The most likely score is 1-1. If Armenia wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Armenia vs Cyprus?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Armenia (1,337) and Cyprus (1,319).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Armenia vs Cyprus
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Armenia
4-2-3-1- 18A. Miranyan
- 8K. Hovhannisyan
- 9A. Serobyan
- 6U. Iwu
- 14G. Manvelyan
- 10E. Spertsyan
- 21N. Tiknizyan
- 4G. Harutyunyan
- 3E. Piloyan
- 22E. Simonyan
- 12A. Beglaryan
Cyprus
4-2-3-1- 9I. Pittas
- 20G. Kastanos
- 23M. Edwards
- 10L. Loizou
- 11A. Kakoullis
- 18K. Artymatas
- 3N. Panagiotou
- 4H. Kyprianou
- 14G. Malekkides
- 15L. Konomis
- 1Fabiano
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Armenia have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Cyprus have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2026 | Montenegro(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Cyprus(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Montenegro(home) | 2-3 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Latvia(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Moldova(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2026 | Latvia(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Armenia(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Latvia(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Montenegro(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Liechtenstein(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Armenia win, 1 draw, 1 Cyprus win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Cyprus 2-0 Armenia | UEFA Nations League |
| Mar 28, 2023 | Armenia 2-2 Cyprus | Friendlies |
| Nov 13, 2017 | Armenia 3-2 Cyprus | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Armenia score 0.9 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Cyprus score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Armenia | 0.9 | 2.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Cyprus | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Armenia sit 3rd in UEFA Nations League (4 points from 4 matches) and Cyprus sit 2nd (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cyprus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Armenia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
A question about Armenia vs Cyprus?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Armenia vs Cyprus?
- The Footlab AI model makes Armenia the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Cyprus.
- Where and when is Armenia vs Cyprus played?
- Armenia vs Cyprus is played on November 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Vazgen Sargsyan anvan Hanrapetakan Marzadasht, in the UEFA Nations League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.