Dynamo Dresden vs Arminia Bielefeld: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 31Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion, Dresden
The Footlab model makes Dynamo Dresden the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Arminia Bielefeld. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dynamo Dresden vs Arminia Bielefeld?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Dynamo Dresden (2,026) and Arminia Bielefeld (2,019).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dynamo Dresden have 10 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats; Arminia Bielefeld have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Westfalia Rhynern(away) | 6-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | SV Darmstadt 98(home) | 1-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | 1. FC Nürnberg(away) | 0-3 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Union Berlin(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Energie Cottbus(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away) | 2-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Energie Cottbus(home) | 3-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Karlsruher SC(away) | 1-2 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | MSV Duisburg(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Bologna(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Dynamo Dresden win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Arminia Bielefeld win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Dynamo Dresden 1-1 Arminia Bielefeld | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Arminia Bielefeld 1-2 Dynamo Dresden | 2. Bundesliga |
| May 3, 2025 | Arminia Bielefeld 1-1 Dynamo Dresden | 3. Liga |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Dynamo Dresden 3-0 Arminia Bielefeld | 3. Liga |
| Dec 20, 2023 | Arminia Bielefeld 0-1 Dynamo Dresden | 3. Liga |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Dynamo Dresden 3-1 Arminia Bielefeld | 3. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Dynamo Dresden vs Arminia Bielefeld on Feb 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dynamo Dresden score 2.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Arminia Bielefeld score 2.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dynamo Dresden | 2.8 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 10/15 |
| Arminia Bielefeld | 2.6 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dynamo Dresden sit 11th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and Arminia Bielefeld sit 6th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Arminia Bielefeld | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Dynamo Dresden | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dynamo Dresden vs Arminia Bielefeld?
- The Footlab model makes Dynamo Dresden the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Arminia Bielefeld.
- Where and when is Dynamo Dresden vs Arminia Bielefeld played?
- Dynamo Dresden vs Arminia Bielefeld is played on April 24, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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