Arosa vs Basconia: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 33Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio A Lomba, Vilagarcía de Arousa
The Footlab AI model makes Basconia the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Arosa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Basconia wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,528 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arosa vs Basconia?
A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Arosa (1,874) and Basconia (1,965).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Arosa vs Basconia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Arosa
Not enough data to predict the Arosa lineup.
Basconia
Not enough data to predict the Basconia lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 12:19 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arosa have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Basconia have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Bergantiños(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ourense CF(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés II(home) | 2-5 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Basconia(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Gernika(home) | 0-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Eibar II(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Llanera(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Marino de Luanco(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Arosa(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Atlético Astorga(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Arosa wins, 1 draw, 0 Basconia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Basconia 2-2 Arosa | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Arosa score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Basconia score 2.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arosa | 1.4 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Basconia | 2.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arosa sit 17th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (4 points from 6 matches) and Basconia sit 9th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Basconia | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 9 |
| 17 | Arosa | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 4 |
A question about Arosa vs Basconia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arosa vs Basconia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Basconia the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Arosa.
- Where and when is Arosa vs Basconia played?
- Arosa vs Basconia is played on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio A Lomba, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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