Arosa vs Compostela: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio A Lomba, Vilagarcía de Arousa
The Footlab model makes Arosa the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Compostela. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arosa vs Compostela?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Arosa (1,903) and Compostela (1,885).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arosa have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; Compostela have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pontevedra(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Celtiga(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Cambados(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Boiro(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Barco(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Badalona II(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Badalona II(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Atlético Arteixo(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 31, 2026 | Atlético Arteixo(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Arosa win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Compostela win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Arosa 0-2 Compostela | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Compostela 1-0 Arosa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 24, 2022 | Compostela 2-1 Arosa | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Dec 5, 2021 | Arosa 0-1 Compostela | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Dec 1, 2019 | Compostela 2-0 Arosa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Arosa score 1.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Compostela score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arosa | 1.7 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Compostela | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arosa vs Compostela?
- The Footlab model makes Arosa the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Compostela.
- Where and when is Arosa vs Compostela played?
- Arosa vs Compostela is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio A Lomba, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.