Marino de Luanco vs Racing Santander II: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadi Municipal de Miramar, Luanco
The Footlab model makes Racing Santander II the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Marino de Luanco. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marino de Luanco vs Racing Santander II?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Marino de Luanco (1,876) and Racing Santander II (1,947).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marino de Luanco have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Racing Santander II have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Langreo(home) | 6-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ponferradina(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sporting Gijón II(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Real Avilés(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Basconia(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Avilés(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Sarriana(away) | 4-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Real Ávila(home) | 4-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Coruxo(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Marino de Luanco win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Racing Santander II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Marino de Luanco 1-1 Racing Santander II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Racing Santander II 1-0 Marino de Luanco | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Marino de Luanco 2-1 Racing Santander II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Racing Santander II 4-2 Marino de Luanco | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Marino de Luanco 0-1 Racing Santander II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Racing Santander II 2-0 Marino de Luanco | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Marino de Luanco vs Racing Santander II on Feb 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Marino de Luanco score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Racing Santander II score 2.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marino de Luanco | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Racing Santander II | 2.9 | 1.8 | 3 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marino de Luanco sit 12th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (45 points from 34 matches) and Racing Santander II sit 9th (48 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Racing Santander II | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 63 | 50 | 48 |
| 12 | Marino de Luanco | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 31 | 26 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marino de Luanco vs Racing Santander II?
- The Footlab model makes Racing Santander II the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Marino de Luanco.
- Where and when is Marino de Luanco vs Racing Santander II played?
- Marino de Luanco vs Racing Santander II is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadi Municipal de Miramar, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.