Llanera vs Bergantiños: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal de Fútbol Pepe Quimarán, Llanera
The Footlab AI model makes Llanera the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Bergantiños. The most likely score is 1-1. If Llanera wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,718 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Llanera vs Bergantiños?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Llanera (1,989) and Bergantiños (1,954).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Llanera vs Bergantiños
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Llanera
Not enough data to predict the Llanera lineup.
Bergantiños
Not enough data to predict the Bergantiños lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 04:39 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Llanera have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Bergantiños have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Marino de Luanco(home) | 4-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Basconia(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Racing Santander II(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Gernika(away) | 0-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés II(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Arosa(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Coruxo(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Portugalete(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Gimnástica Torrelavega(away) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | UD Santa Marta(away) | 0-1 | Copa Federacion |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Llanera wins, 1 draw, 0 Bergantiños wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2025 | Llanera 1-0 Bergantiños | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Bergantiños 2-2 Llanera | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 3, 2022 | Llanera 2-0 Bergantiños | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 14, 2021 | Bergantiños 1-2 Llanera | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Llanera vs Bergantiños on Feb 9, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Llanera score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Bergantiños score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llanera | 1.7 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Bergantiños | 2.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Llanera sit 13th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (7 points from 6 matches) and Bergantiños sit 1st (14 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bergantiños | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 7 | 14 |
| 13 | Llanera | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 7 |
A question about Llanera vs Bergantiños?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Llanera vs Bergantiños?
- The Footlab AI model makes Llanera the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Bergantiños.
- Where and when is Llanera vs Bergantiños played?
- Llanera vs Bergantiños is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal de Fútbol Pepe Quimarán, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.