Llanera vs Bergantiños: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal de Fútbol Pepe Quimarán, Llanera
The Footlab model makes Llanera the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Bergantiños. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Llanera vs Bergantiños?
Llanera starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,999 vs 1,882).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Llanera have 12 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; Bergantiños have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Sporting Gijón II(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Avilés Stadium(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Avilés Stadium(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Tuilla(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Real Titánico(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Sámano(away) | 5-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | UD Ourense(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Real Oviedo II(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Sarriana(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Real Valladolid II(away) | 4-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Llanera win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Bergantiños win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2025 | Llanera 1-0 Bergantiños | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Bergantiños 2-2 Llanera | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 3, 2022 | Llanera 2-0 Bergantiños | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 14, 2021 | Bergantiños 1-2 Llanera | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Llanera vs Bergantiños on Feb 9, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Llanera score 1.9 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; Bergantiños score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llanera | 1.9 | 0.4 | 11 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Bergantiños | 1.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Bergantiños | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 44 | 37 | 48 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Llanera vs Bergantiños?
- The Footlab model makes Llanera the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Bergantiños.
- Where and when is Llanera vs Bergantiños played?
- Llanera vs Bergantiños is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal de Fútbol Pepe Quimarán, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.