Where and when is Arosa vs Portugalete played?

Arosa vs Portugalete is played on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio A Lomba, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Arosa vs Portugalete: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 22Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio A Lomba, Vilagarcía de Arousa

Arosa

Portugalete

The Footlab model makes Arosa the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Portugalete. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arosa vs Portugalete?

A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Arosa (1,904) and Portugalete (1,942).

Arosa win39 %

Draw28 %

Portugalete win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arosa have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; Portugalete have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arosa
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 1, 2026	Pontevedra(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026	Celtiga(home)	3-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 1
May 2, 2026	Cambados(away)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 26, 2026	Boiro(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 19, 2026	Barco(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 1

Portugalete
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 14, 2026	Barakaldo(home)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 9, 2026	Deportivo Alavés III(away)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
May 3, 2026	Aurrerá Vitoria(home)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 25, 2026	Leioa(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 17, 2026	Eibar III(home)	4-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 4

How many goals should we expect?

Arosa score 1.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Portugalete score 1.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Arosa	1.7	0.8	7	7/15	5/15
Portugalete	1.8	0.9	7	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arosa vs Portugalete?: The Footlab model makes Arosa the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Portugalete.
Where and when is Arosa vs Portugalete played?: Arosa vs Portugalete is played on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio A Lomba, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.