Arosa vs Portugalete: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 · Matchday 22Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio A Lomba, Vilagarcía de Arousa
The Footlab AI model makes Portugalete the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Arosa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Portugalete wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,522 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arosa vs Portugalete?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Arosa (1,870) and Portugalete (1,936).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Arosa vs Portugalete
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Arosa
4-3-3- 6M. Remeseiro
- 9J. Rivera
- 20A. Rey
- 8Antón Concheiro
- 15M. Arellano Jimenez
- 18H. Garcia
- 17Carlos Torrado
- 5S. Santos
- 4C. Pacheco
- 16X. Fraga
- 13A. Perez
Portugalete
Not enough data to predict the Portugalete lineup.
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 08:33 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arosa have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Portugalete have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Compostela(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Portugalete(away) | 3-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Pontevedra(home) | 2-0 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Sestao River(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Llanera(home) | 4-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Ourense CF(away) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Arosa(home) | 3-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Basconia(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Eibar II(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Amorebieta(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Arosa wins, 1 draw, 0 Portugalete wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Portugalete 3-3 Arosa | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Arosa score 1.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Portugalete score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arosa | 1.8 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Portugalete | 1.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arosa sit 15th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (8 points from 10 matches) and Portugalete sit 6th (16 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Portugalete | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 16 |
| 15 | Arosa | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 22 | 8 |
A question about Arosa vs Portugalete?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arosa vs Portugalete?
- The Footlab AI model makes Portugalete the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Arosa.
- Where and when is Arosa vs Portugalete played?
- Arosa vs Portugalete is played on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio A Lomba, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 14, 2027GernikavsOurense CF
- Feb 14, 2027Gimnástica TorrelavegavsEibar II
- Feb 14, 2027AmorebietavsReal Madrid III
- Feb 14, 2027BergantiñosvsCompostela
- Feb 14, 2027Sestao RivervsCoruxo
- Feb 14, 2027LlaneravsReal Oviedo II
- Feb 14, 2027Racing Santander IIvsDeportivo Alavés II
- Feb 14, 2027BasconiavsMarino de Luanco