Gernika vs Ourense CF: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 22Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Urbieta, Gernika-Lumo
The Footlab AI model makes Gernika the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Ourense CF. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gernika wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,466 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gernika vs Ourense CF?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Gernika (1,883) and Ourense CF (1,905).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gernika vs Ourense CF
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gernika
Not enough data to predict the Gernika lineup.
Ourense CF
Not enough data to predict the Ourense CF lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 07:12 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gernika have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Ourense CF have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés II(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sestao River(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Coruxo(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Llanera(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Arosa(away) | 4-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Atlético Astorga(away) | 0-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Arosa(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Amorebieta(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Eibar II(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Marino de Luanco(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Gernika score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ourense CF score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gernika | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Ourense CF | 1.2 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gernika sit 8th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (9 points from 6 matches) and Ourense CF sit 7th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Ourense CF | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 |
| 8 | Gernika | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 9 |
A question about Gernika vs Ourense CF?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gernika vs Ourense CF?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gernika the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Ourense CF.
- Where and when is Gernika vs Ourense CF played?
- Gernika vs Ourense CF is played on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Urbieta, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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