Match

Eibar II vs Arosa: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 23Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Complejo Deportivo de Unbe Inferior, Eibar

Eibar IIArosa

The Footlab model makes Eibar II the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Arosa. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Eibar II vs Arosa?

A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Eibar II (1,888) and Arosa (1,904).

Eibar II win40 %
Draw28 %
Arosa win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eibar II have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Arosa have 10, 4 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Eibar II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 2, 2026Náxara(home)3-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 26, 2026Ejea(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 18, 2026Ebro(home)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 12, 2026Utebo(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 4, 2026UD Logroñés(home)3-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Arosa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 1, 2026Pontevedra(home)3-1Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026Celtiga(home)3-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 1
May 2, 2026Cambados(away)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 26, 2026Boiro(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 19, 2026Barco(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 1

How many goals should we expect?

Eibar II score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Arosa score 1.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Eibar II1.51.439/158/15
Arosa1.70.877/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Eibar II vs Arosa?
The Footlab model makes Eibar II the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Arosa.
Where and when is Eibar II vs Arosa played?
Eibar II vs Arosa is played on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Complejo Deportivo de Unbe Inferior, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Eibar II and Arosa

Ready to know everything about football?