Tekstilshchik vs Arsenal Tula: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Tekstilshchik, Ivanovo
The Footlab AI model makes Tekstilshchik the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Arsenal Tula. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tekstilshchik wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tekstilshchik vs Arsenal Tula?
A very open match: only 0 Elo points separate Tekstilshchik (1,749) and Arsenal Tula (1,749).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tekstilshchik vs Arsenal Tula
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tekstilshchik
4-2-3-1- 83N. Ishchenko
- 7A. Dzhebov
- 30D. Simonov
- 21D. Ivanisenya
- 46N. Pershin
- 30D. Simonov
- 74E. Guziev
- 23D. Ivannikov
- 2A. Gapechkin
- 27A. Krutovskikh
- 58S. Fadeev
Arsenal Tula
3-4-1-2- 19N. Glushkov
- 11R. Magomedov
- 77D. Plotnikov
- 25A. Biryukov
- 35I. Enin
- 21N. Razdorskikh
- 14M. Brnović
- 4D. Penchikov
- 82A. Alekhin
- 44O. Isaenko
- 42A. Melikhov
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 02:40 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tekstilshchik have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Arsenal Tula have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Chertanovo Moscow(away) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Shinnik Yaroslavl(away) | 0-2 | First League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | FC Orenburg(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Rotor Volgograd(home) | 0-2 | First League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Leningradets(away) | 2-2 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Spartak Kostroma(home) | 3-2 | First League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | CSKA Moscow(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Enisey(away) | 1-3 | First League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Ska-khabarovsk(home) | 2-2 | First League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Tekstilshchik(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Tekstilshchik win, 1 draw, 1 Arsenal Tula win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2026 | Tekstilshchik 1-0 Arsenal Tula | Cup |
| Jul 13, 2026 | Arsenal Tula 2-1 Tekstilshchik | First League |
| Oct 21, 2020 | Tekstilshchik 0-0 Arsenal Tula | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Tekstilshchik vs Arsenal Tula on Sep 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tekstilshchik score 0.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Arsenal Tula score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tekstilshchik | 0.7 | 1.6 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Arsenal Tula | 1.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tekstilshchik sit 18th in First League (7 points from 13 matches) and Arsenal Tula sit 10th (16 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Arsenal Tula | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 24 | 16 |
| 18 | Tekstilshchik | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 7 |
A question about Tekstilshchik vs Arsenal Tula?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tekstilshchik vs Arsenal Tula?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tekstilshchik the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Arsenal Tula.
- Where and when is Tekstilshchik vs Arsenal Tula played?
- Tekstilshchik vs Arsenal Tula is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Tekstilshchik, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.