Arsenal Tula vs Veles: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Arsenal, Tula
The Footlab AI model makes Arsenal Tula the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Veles. The most likely score is 1-1. If Arsenal Tula wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,849 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arsenal Tula vs Veles?
A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Arsenal Tula (1,729) and Veles (1,824).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Arsenal Tula vs Veles
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Arsenal Tula
3-5-2- 11R. Magomedov
- 8D. Shamkin
- 77D. Plotnikov
- 25A. Biryukov
- 35I. Enin
- 14M. Brnović
- 21N. Razdorskikh
- 4D. Penchikov
- 24K. Gotsuk
- 82A. Alekhin
- 42A. Melikhov
Veles
4-2-3-1- 9K. Giraev
- 22Y. Zavezen
- 97A. Shubin
- 77O. Smirnov
- 90V. Galkin
- 11K. Korolkov
- 23K. Skvortsov
- 5A. Koloskov
- 15K. Pliev
- 80M. Rybalko
- 41S. Samok
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 11:25 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arsenal Tula have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Veles have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | FC UFA(away) | 0-2 | First League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Spartak Kostroma(home) | 3-2 | First League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | CSKA Moscow(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Enisey(away) | 1-3 | First League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Ska-khabarovsk(home) | 2-2 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Shinnik Yaroslavl(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ural(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Volga Ulyanovsk(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Torpedo Moskva(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | FC Sochi(home) | 1-2 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Arsenal Tula wins, 2 draws, 2 Veles wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Veles 2-0 Arsenal Tula | First League |
| May 6, 2023 | Arsenal Tula 1-1 Veles | First League |
| Oct 16, 2022 | Veles 1-0 Arsenal Tula | First League |
| Oct 27, 2021 | Veles 1-1 Arsenal Tula | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Veles vs Arsenal Tula on Aug 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Arsenal Tula score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Veles score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal Tula | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Veles | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arsenal Tula sit 11th in First League (16 points from 14 matches) and Veles sit 5th (27 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Veles | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 27 |
| 11 | Arsenal Tula | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 26 | 16 |
A question about Arsenal Tula vs Veles?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arsenal Tula vs Veles?
- The Footlab AI model makes Arsenal Tula the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Veles.
- Where and when is Arsenal Tula vs Veles played?
- Arsenal Tula vs Veles is played on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Arsenal, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.