Ural vs FC Sochi: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ekaterinburg Arena, Ekaterinburg
The Footlab model makes Ural the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for FC Sochi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ural vs FC Sochi?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Ural (1,898) and FC Sochi (1,820).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ural have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; FC Sochi have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tekstilshchik(home) | 2-0 | First League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Rotor Volgograd(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC UFA(home) | 3-0 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ska-khabarovsk(away) | 3-0 | First League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Leningradets(away) | 0-0 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | FK Neftekhimik(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Volga Ulyanovsk(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Torpedo Moskva(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Leningradets(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Arsenal Tula(home) | 5-0 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ural win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 FC Sochi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | FC Sochi 1-0 Ural | First League |
| Jul 14, 2024 | Ural 2-0 FC Sochi | First League |
| Apr 21, 2024 | FC Sochi 2-2 Ural | Premier League |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Ural 1-4 FC Sochi | Premier League |
| Jun 3, 2023 | Ural 1-0 FC Sochi | Premier League |
| Oct 30, 2022 | FC Sochi 2-2 Ural | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Ural score 1.5 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; FC Sochi score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ural | 1.5 | 0.6 | 8 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
| FC Sochi | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ural sit 3rd in First League (14 points from 7 matches) and FC Sochi sit 5th (13 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ural | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | FC Sochi | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ural vs FC Sochi?
- The Footlab model makes Ural the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for FC Sochi.
- Where and when is Ural vs FC Sochi played?
- Ural vs FC Sochi is played on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ekaterinburg Arena, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.