Ural vs FC Sochi: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ekaterinburg Arena, Ekaterinburg
The Footlab AI model makes Ural the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for FC Sochi. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ural wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.4% of the 3,651 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ural vs FC Sochi?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Ural (1,870) and FC Sochi (1,825).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ural vs FC Sochi
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ural
3-4-2-1- 97I. Ishkov
- 6F. Sungatulin
- 17V. Karapuzov
- 22Léo Cordeiro
- 59E. Kharin
- 37Vitaliy Bondarev
- 13M. Kaynov
- 16Ítalo
- 15D. Tikhiy
- 2S. Begić
- 57A. Selikhov
FC Sochi
3-4-2-1- 9Z. Fedorov
- 8M. Ignatov
- 66A. Metsiev
- 5A. Osipov
- 6M. Kuzmin
- 97R. Pasevich
- 29R. Ezhov
- 28R. Magal
- 44N. Stojić
- 27K. Zaika
- 51T. Mitrov
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 11:47 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ural have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; FC Sochi have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Chelyabinsk(away) | 3-1 | First League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Nizhny Novgorod(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Veles(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Spartak Kostroma(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | FK Neftekhimik(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Tekstilshchik(away) | 3-1 | First League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Rotor Volgograd(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | FC UFA(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Ska-khabarovsk(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Veles(away) | 2-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ural wins, 2 draws, 2 FC Sochi wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | FC Sochi 1-0 Ural | First League |
| Jul 14, 2024 | Ural 2-0 FC Sochi | First League |
| Apr 21, 2024 | FC Sochi 2-2 Ural | Premier League |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Ural 1-4 FC Sochi | Premier League |
| Jun 3, 2023 | Ural 1-0 FC Sochi | Premier League |
| Oct 30, 2022 | FC Sochi 2-2 Ural | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Ural score 1.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; FC Sochi score 1.6 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ural | 1.7 | 0.8 | 7 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| FC Sochi | 1.6 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ural sit 4th in First League (28 points from 15 matches) and FC Sochi sit 2nd (32 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Sochi | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 15 | 32 |
| 4 | Ural | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 28 |
A question about Ural vs FC Sochi?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ural vs FC Sochi?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ural the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for FC Sochi.
- Where and when is Ural vs FC Sochi played?
- Ural vs FC Sochi is played on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ekaterinburg Arena, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.