Dinamo Brest vs ML Vitebsk: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Stadyen DASK Brestski, Brest
The Footlab model makes ML Vitebsk the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Dinamo Brest. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dinamo Brest vs ML Vitebsk?
ML Vitebsk starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (1,847 vs 1,728).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dinamo Brest have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; ML Vitebsk have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Baranovichi(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Isloch Minsk R.(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Torpedo Zhodino(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Belshina(home) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Slavia Mozyr(away) | 1-2 | Coppa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bate Borisov(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Baranovichi(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Borac Banja Luka(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Borac Banja Luka(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Sutjeska(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Dinamo Brest win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 ML Vitebsk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | ML Vitebsk 0-0 Dinamo Brest | Premier League |
| Mar 15, 2026 | ML Vitebsk 2-0 Dinamo Brest | Coppa |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Dinamo Brest 0-2 ML Vitebsk | Coppa |
| Aug 17, 2025 | ML Vitebsk 1-1 Dinamo Brest | Premier League |
| Apr 4, 2025 | Dinamo Brest 0-2 ML Vitebsk | Premier League |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Dinamo Brest 0-6 ML Vitebsk | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: ML Vitebsk vs Dinamo Brest on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dinamo Brest score 2.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; ML Vitebsk score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Brest | 2.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| ML Vitebsk | 1.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dinamo Brest sit 4th in Premier League (31 points from 19 matches) and ML Vitebsk sit 2nd (34 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | ML Vitebsk | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 32 | 13 | 34 |
| 4 | Dinamo Brest | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 18 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dinamo Brest vs ML Vitebsk?
- The Footlab model makes ML Vitebsk the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Dinamo Brest.
- Where and when is Dinamo Brest vs ML Vitebsk played?
- Dinamo Brest vs ML Vitebsk is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Stadyen DASK Brestski, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.