Bate Borisov vs FC Minsk: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Borisov Arena, Borisov
The Footlab model makes Bate Borisov the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for FC Minsk. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bate Borisov vs FC Minsk?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Bate Borisov (1,653) and FC Minsk (1,651).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bate Borisov have 2 wins, 9 draws and 4 defeats; FC Minsk have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | ML Vitebsk(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Vitebsk(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Baranovichi(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | FC Sion(away) | 0-4 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | FC Sion(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | FC Vitebsk(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Neman(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Gomel(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Arsenal(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Belshina(away) | 2-1 | Coppa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Bate Borisov win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 FC Minsk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | FC Minsk 1-0 Bate Borisov | Premier League |
| Feb 21, 2026 | FC Minsk 1-1 Bate Borisov | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 30, 2025 | FC Minsk 2-0 Bate Borisov | Premier League |
| Jul 5, 2025 | Bate Borisov 0-2 FC Minsk | Premier League |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Bate Borisov 2-4 FC Minsk | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2024 | Bate Borisov 0-1 FC Minsk | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: FC Minsk vs Bate Borisov on Apr 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bate Borisov score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; FC Minsk score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bate Borisov | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| FC Minsk | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bate Borisov sit 14th in Premier League (14 points from 17 matches) and FC Minsk sit 7th (28 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | FC Minsk | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 24 | 28 |
| 14 | Bate Borisov | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bate Borisov vs FC Minsk?
- The Footlab model makes Bate Borisov the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for FC Minsk.
- Where and when is Bate Borisov vs FC Minsk played?
- Bate Borisov vs FC Minsk is played on August 30, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Borisov Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.