FC Vitebsk vs Naftan: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadyen Central'ny Vitsyebski, Vitebsk
The Footlab model makes FC Vitebsk the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Naftan. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Vitebsk vs Naftan?
FC Vitebsk starts as the favourite with a 222-point Elo edge (1,685 vs 1,463).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Vitebsk have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Naftan have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | FC Minsk(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bate Borisov(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Neman(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Gomel(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FC Gomel(away) | 2-1 | Coppa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Neman(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Gomel(away) | 0-6 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Arsenal(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | FC Dnepr Mogilev(away) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Orsha(away) | 2-2 | Coppa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 FC Vitebsk win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Naftan win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Naftan 1-1 FC Vitebsk | Premier League |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Naftan 1-1 FC Vitebsk | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Naftan 3-0 FC Vitebsk | Premier League |
| Apr 5, 2025 | FC Vitebsk 2-0 Naftan | Premier League |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Naftan 0-4 FC Vitebsk | Premier League |
| May 24, 2024 | FC Vitebsk 2-0 Naftan | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Vitebsk score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Naftan score 1.1 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Vitebsk | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Naftan | 1.1 | 2.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Vitebsk sit 6th in Premier League (29 points from 19 matches) and Naftan sit 16th (10 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | FC Vitebsk | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17 | 29 |
| 16 | Naftan | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 42 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Vitebsk vs Naftan?
- The Footlab model makes FC Vitebsk the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Naftan.
- Where and when is FC Vitebsk vs Naftan played?
- FC Vitebsk vs Naftan is played on August 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadyen Central'ny Vitsyebski, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.