Campo Grande vs Macaé: prediction and stats
Carioca - 2Regular Season - 3Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Mauro Sampaio, Juazeiro do Norte, Ceará
The Footlab model makes Campo Grande the favourite at 44%, against 31% for a draw and 26% for Macaé. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Campo Grande vs Macaé?
A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate Campo Grande (1,644) and Macaé (1,552).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Campo Grande have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Macaé have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | Petrópolis(away) | 1-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Nova Cidade(away) | 0-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Carapebus(home) | 0-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Niteroiense(home) | 1-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Paduano(away) | 1-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 23, 2026 | Americano Campos(away) | 1-2 | Copa Rio |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Americano Campos(home) | 0-0 | Copa Rio |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Goytacaz(away) | 1-4 | Carioca B2 |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Goytacaz(home) | 1-1 | Carioca B2 |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Santa Cruz RJ(away) | 2-2 | Carioca B2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Campo Grande score 0.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Macaé score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Campo Grande | 0.7 | 0.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 1/15 |
| Macaé | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Campo Grande | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Campo Grande vs Macaé?
- The Footlab model makes Campo Grande the favourite at 44%, against 31% for a draw and 26% for Macaé.
- Where and when is Campo Grande vs Macaé played?
- Campo Grande vs Macaé is played on September 19, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Mauro Sampaio, in the Carioca - 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.