Lazio vs AS Roma: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Olimpico, Roma
The Footlab AI model makes AS Roma the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Lazio. The most likely score is 1-1. If AS Roma wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lazio vs AS Roma?
A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Lazio (2,033) and AS Roma (2,123).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lazio vs AS Roma
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lazio
4-3-3- 10M. Zaccagni
- 14T. Noslin
- 11G. Isaksen
- 21R. Belahyane
- 24K. Taylor
- 16D. Frattesi
- 15R. Floriani Mussolini
- 25O. Provstgaard
- 5D. Doekhi
- 17Nuno Tavares
- 35C. Mandas
AS Roma
3-4-2-1- 14D. Malen
- 21P. Dybala
- 43Wesley
- 17M. Koné
- 20N. Molina
- 15M. de Roon
- 4B. Cristante
- 22Hermoso
- 23G. Mancini
- 5E. Ndicka
- 95P. Gollini
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 02:19 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lazio have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat; AS Roma have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Monza(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Juve Stabia(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Arezzo(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Venezia(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 12, 2026 | AC Milan(home) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Real Madrid(home) | 3-4 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Como(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Inter(home) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Torino(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Fenerbahçe(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Lazio win, 1 draw, 4 AS Roma wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | AS Roma 2-0 Lazio | Serie A |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Lazio 0-1 AS Roma | Serie A |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Lazio 1-1 AS Roma | Serie A |
| Jan 5, 2025 | AS Roma 2-0 Lazio | Serie A |
| Apr 6, 2024 | AS Roma 1-0 Lazio | Serie A |
| Jan 10, 2024 | Lazio 1-0 AS Roma | Coppa Italia |
How many goals should we expect?
Lazio score 2.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; AS Roma score 2.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio | 2.5 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| AS Roma | 2.1 | 1.4 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lazio sit 2nd in Serie A (16 points from 6 matches) and AS Roma sit 3rd (14 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lazio | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 16 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 14 |
A question about Lazio vs AS Roma?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lazio vs AS Roma?
- The Footlab AI model makes AS Roma the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Lazio.
- Where and when is Lazio vs AS Roma played?
- Lazio vs AS Roma is played on December 13, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Olimpico, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.