GIL Vicente vs Sporting CP: prediction and stats
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Cidade de Barcelos, Barcelos
The Footlab AI model makes Sporting CP the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for GIL Vicente. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sporting CP wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,461 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win GIL Vicente vs Sporting CP?
Sporting CP is a heavy favourite: 2,442 Elo points against 2,095, a 347-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for GIL Vicente vs Sporting CP
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
GIL Vicente
4-2-3-1- 23Héctor Hernández
- 20Gil Pinto Martins
- 77Murilo
- 12A. Lausen
- 86Diogo Ferreira Prioste
- 10Santi García
- 39Jonathan Buatu
- 4M. Elimbi Gilbert
- 47Ricardo Esgaio
- 45David Moreira
- 30Lucão
Sporting CP
4-3-3- 10Geny Catamo
- 19N. Irankunda
- 97L. Suárez
- 5Sergi Altimira
- 77I. Doumbia
- 4S. Andersen
- 25Gonçalo Inácio
- 22Iván Fresneda
- 20M. Araújo
- 72Eduardo Quaresma
- 1Rui Silva
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 06:23 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, GIL Vicente have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Sporting CP have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | União Santarém(away) | 3-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Moreirense(away) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Maritimo(home) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Benfica(away) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Academico Viseu(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Lens(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | SC Braga(away) | 3-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Arouca(home) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Famalicao(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Galatasaray(home) | 3-1 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 GIL Vicente wins, 2 draws, 4 Sporting CP wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Sporting CP 3-0 GIL Vicente | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 2, 2026 | GIL Vicente 1-1 Sporting CP | Primeira Liga |
| May 4, 2025 | Sporting CP 2-1 GIL Vicente | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 27, 2025 | GIL Vicente 0-1 Sporting CP | Taça de Portugal |
| Dec 22, 2024 | GIL Vicente 0-0 Sporting CP | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 12, 2024 | GIL Vicente 0-4 Sporting CP | Primeira Liga |
Last archived meeting: Sporting CP vs GIL Vicente on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
GIL Vicente score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting CP score 2.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GIL Vicente | 1.0 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Sporting CP | 2.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
GIL Vicente sit 7th in Primeira Liga (11 points from 7 matches) and Sporting CP sit 3rd (18 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 18 |
| 7 | GIL Vicente | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
A question about GIL Vicente vs Sporting CP?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for GIL Vicente vs Sporting CP?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sporting CP the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for GIL Vicente.
- Where and when is GIL Vicente vs Sporting CP played?
- GIL Vicente vs Sporting CP is played on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Cidade de Barcelos, in the Primeira Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.