Match

AS Sobemap vs Espoir Savalou: prediction and stats

Championnat NationalRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Municipal d'Avrankou, Avrankou

AS SobemapEspoir Savalou

The Footlab model makes AS Sobemap the favourite at 46%, against 31% for a draw and 24% for Espoir Savalou. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win AS Sobemap vs Espoir Savalou?

A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate AS Sobemap (1,818) and Espoir Savalou (1,770).

AS Sobemap win46 %
Draw31 %
Espoir Savalou win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AS Sobemap have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Espoir Savalou have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

AS Sobemap
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 20, 2026Bani Gansè(away)0-1Championnat National
Jun 13, 2026AS Cotonou(home)1-0Championnat National
Jun 6, 2026Dadjè(home)2-1Championnat National
May 30, 2026Loto Popo(away)1-0Championnat National
May 23, 2026Buffles(home)1-0Championnat National
Espoir Savalou
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 20, 2026AS Cotonou(away)1-1Championnat National
Jun 13, 2026Hodio(home)2-1Championnat National
Jun 6, 2026Kraké(away)2-2Championnat National
May 30, 2026Buffles(away)3-2Championnat National
May 22, 2026Ayema(home)0-1Championnat National

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 AS Sobemap win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Espoir Savalou win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 7, 2026Espoir Savalou 3-1 AS SobemapChampionnat National
Oct 4, 2025AS Sobemap 5-1 Espoir SavalouChampionnat National
Jun 1, 2024Espoir Savalou 1-1 AS SobemapChampionnat National
Mar 3, 2024AS Sobemap 1-1 Espoir SavalouChampionnat National

Last archived meeting: Espoir Savalou vs AS Sobemap on Mar 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

AS Sobemap score 0.7 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Espoir Savalou score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
AS Sobemap0.70.5102/153/15
Espoir Savalou1.11.058/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

AS Sobemap sit 1st in Championnat National (67 points from 33 matches) and Espoir Savalou sit 7th (48 points from 33 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1AS Sobemap332076331867
7Espoir Savalou3313911323348

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for AS Sobemap vs Espoir Savalou?
The Footlab model makes AS Sobemap the favourite at 46%, against 31% for a draw and 24% for Espoir Savalou.
Where and when is AS Sobemap vs Espoir Savalou played?
AS Sobemap vs Espoir Savalou is played on February 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Municipal d'Avrankou, in the Championnat National.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: AS Sobemap and Espoir Savalou

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