ASA Aarhus vs Holbæk B&I: prediction and stats
3. DivisionRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)ASA grounds (boldbaner), Århus
The Footlab AI model makes Holbæk B&I the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for ASA Aarhus. The most likely score is 1-1. If Holbæk B&I wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ASA Aarhus vs Holbæk B&I?
Holbæk B&I starts as the favourite with a 203-point Elo edge (1,803 vs 1,600).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for ASA Aarhus vs Holbæk B&I
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
ASA Aarhus
Not enough data to predict the ASA Aarhus lineup.
Holbæk B&I
Not enough data to predict the Holbæk B&I lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 10:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ASA Aarhus have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Holbæk B&I have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sundby(home) | 1-2 | 3. Division |
| Oct 10, 2026 | FC Helsingor(away) | 1-2 | 3. Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Holbæk B&I(away) | 1-2 | 3. Division |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Hørsholm-Usserød(home) | 2-1 | 3. Division |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Brønshøj(away) | 1-5 | 3. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Holstebro(home) | 4-0 | 3. Division |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Vanløse(away) | 0-0 | 3. Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | ASA Aarhus(home) | 2-1 | 3. Division |
| Sep 25, 2026 | FC Helsingor(away) | 1-5 | 3. Division |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Ringsted(home) | 5-2 | 3. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 ASA Aarhus wins, 0 draws, 1 Holbæk B&I win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Holbæk B&I 2-1 ASA Aarhus | 3. Division |
Last archived meeting: Holbæk B&I vs ASA Aarhus on Oct 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
ASA Aarhus score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Holbæk B&I score 2.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASA Aarhus | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Holbæk B&I | 2.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ASA Aarhus sit 7th in 3. Division (16 points from 11 matches) and Holbæk B&I sit 1st (26 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Holbæk B&I | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | ASA Aarhus | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 16 |
A question about ASA Aarhus vs Holbæk B&I?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ASA Aarhus vs Holbæk B&I?
- The Footlab AI model makes Holbæk B&I the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for ASA Aarhus.
- Where and when is ASA Aarhus vs Holbæk B&I played?
- ASA Aarhus vs Holbæk B&I is played on November 14, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at ASA grounds (boldbaner), in the 3. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.