Vard vs Askøy: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 3Regular Season - 24Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sakkestad gras, Haugesund
The Footlab model makes Vard the favourite at 41%, against 21% for a draw and 38% for Askøy. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vard vs Askøy?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Vard (1,627) and Askøy (1,698).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vard have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Askøy have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Haugesund(home) | 3-4 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Austevoll(away) | 1-2 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Djerv(home) | 1-3 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Gneist(away) | 1-2 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Sogndal II(home) | 4-4 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Varegg(away) | 3-1 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Sogndal II(home) | 0-0 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Fyllingsdalen(home) | 1-0 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Stord(away) | 4-0 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Førde(home) | 2-0 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Vard win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Askøy win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Askøy 1-1 Vard | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Vard score 2.0 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Askøy score 1.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vard | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Askøy | 1.8 | 0.9 | 8 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vard sit 6th in 3. Division - Girone 3 (25 points from 16 matches) and Askøy sit 2nd (35 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Askøy | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 29 | 15 | 35 |
| 6 | Vard | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 30 | 25 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vard vs Askøy?
- The Footlab model makes Vard the favourite at 41%, against 21% for a draw and 38% for Askøy.
- Where and when is Vard vs Askøy played?
- Vard vs Askøy is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sakkestad gras, in the 3. Division - Girone 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.