Avellino vs Virtus Entella: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 21Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi, Avellino
The Footlab AI model makes Avellino the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Virtus Entella. The most likely score is 1-1. If Avellino wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Avellino vs Virtus Entella?
On Elo ratings, Avellino has 1,803 points and Virtus Entella 1,756.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Avellino vs Virtus Entella
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Avellino
3-5-2- 10R. Russo
- 9W. Cheddira
- 27B. Moruzzi
- 39M. Besaggio
- 20M. Palumbo
- 2F. Missori
- 6L. Palmiero
- 4A. Izzo
- 56P. Enrici
- 23M. Venturi
- 50T. Martinelli
Virtus Entella
3-5-2- 11Bernat Guiu
- 10L. Cuppone
- 24A. Franzoni
- 5N. Squizzato
- 8L. Vignali
- 80L. Benedetti
- 26Z. Menyhárt
- 23L. Parodi
- 27M. Alborghetti
- 6A. Tiritiello
- 22F. Del Frate
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:41 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Avellino have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Virtus Entella have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Sampdoria(home) | 4-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ascoli(away) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Palermo(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Modena(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Vicenza Virtus(home) | 3-0 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Juve Stabia(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cremonese(away) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Pisa(away) | 4-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Vicenza Virtus(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Cesena(home) | 1-2 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Avellino wins, 4 draws, 0 Virtus Entella wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Virtus Entella 1-2 Avellino | Serie B |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Avellino 2-0 Virtus Entella | Serie B |
| May 10, 2025 | Virtus Entella 1-1 Avellino | Serie C - Supercoppa Lega Finals |
| Apr 14, 2018 | Virtus Entella 1-1 Avellino | Serie B |
| Nov 11, 2017 | Avellino 0-0 Virtus Entella | Serie B |
| Jan 28, 2017 | Avellino 2-2 Virtus Entella | Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Virtus Entella vs Avellino on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Avellino score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Virtus Entella score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avellino | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Virtus Entella | 1.1 | 1.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Avellino sit 6th in Serie B (10 points from 6 matches) and Virtus Entella sit 14th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Avellino | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 10 |
| 14 | Virtus Entella | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
A question about Avellino vs Virtus Entella?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Avellino vs Virtus Entella?
- The Footlab AI model makes Avellino the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Virtus Entella.
- Where and when is Avellino vs Virtus Entella played?
- Avellino vs Virtus Entella is played on January 16, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.