Sampdoria vs Mantova: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 21Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris, Genova
The Footlab AI model makes Sampdoria the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Mantova. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sampdoria wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sampdoria vs Mantova?
On Elo ratings, Sampdoria has 1,761 points and Mantova 1,873.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sampdoria vs Mantova
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sampdoria
4-3-2-1- 9T. Lauritsen
- 6L. Henderson
- 45A. Makoumbou
- 10L. Insigne
- 16Y. Verschaeren
- 28O. Abildgaard
- 29A. Di Pardo
- 7M. Cicconi
- 3S. Gartenmann
- 15F. Delli Carri
- 1P. Vindahl
Mantova
3-4-2-1- 30D. Bragantini
- 50F. Benaissa-Yahia
- 8R. Ilie
- 25L. Ignacchiti
- 19F. Ruocco
- 41Jonathan Silva
- 80R. Kouda
- 29S. Cella
- 27A. Castellini
- 5B. Tomašević
- 22F. Bardi
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 09:34 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sampdoria have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Mantova have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Avellino(away) | 1-4 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Catanzaro(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Mantova(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Palermo(away) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Juve Stabia(home) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Catanzaro(away) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pisa(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sampdoria(home) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Cesena(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Palermo(away) | 2-5 | Coppa Italia |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Sampdoria win, 1 draw, 3 Mantova wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Mantova 2-0 Sampdoria | Serie B |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Mantova 2-1 Sampdoria | Serie B |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Sampdoria 0-1 Mantova | Serie B |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Mantova 2-2 Sampdoria | Serie B |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Sampdoria 1-0 Mantova | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Sampdoria score 0.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Mantova score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria | 0.8 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Mantova | 2.1 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sampdoria sit 18th in Serie B (4 points from 6 matches) and Mantova sit 2nd (14 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mantova | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 14 |
| 18 | Sampdoria | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 4 |
A question about Sampdoria vs Mantova?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sampdoria vs Mantova?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sampdoria the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Mantova.
- Where and when is Sampdoria vs Mantova played?
- Sampdoria vs Mantova is played on January 16, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.