Padova vs Vicenza Virtus: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Euganeo, Padova
The Footlab AI model makes Padova the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Vicenza Virtus. The most likely score is 1-1. If Padova wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,505 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Padova vs Vicenza Virtus?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Padova (1,795) and Vicenza Virtus (1,879).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Padova vs Vicenza Virtus
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Padova
3-5-2- 9L. Moro
- 20M. Bortolussi
- 21E. Zuelli
- 8P. Fusi
- 34M. Cocchi
- 17A. Capelli
- 10G. Caprari
- 27Alessandro Dellavalle
- 5M. Lovato
- 58C. Pastina
- 22A. Sorrentino
Vicenza Virtus
3-5-2- 33S. Merkaj
- 24Filippo Alessio
- 29L. Zonta
- 4M. Carraro
- 5R. Marchizza
- 26G. Pellizzari
- 99A. Pietrelli
- 14G. Cuomo
- 27T. Sandon
- 6M. Leverbe
- 16R. Gagno
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 03:29 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Padova have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Vicenza Virtus have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Carrarese(home) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Palermo(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Ascoli(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Cremonese(away) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Hellas Verona(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Pisa(home) | 0-3 | Serie B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Koper(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Hellas Verona(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Juve Stabia(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Virtus Entella(away) | 2-2 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Padova win, 2 draws, 3 Vicenza Virtus wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2025 | Padova 0-2 Vicenza Virtus | Coppa Italia |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Vicenza Virtus 1-1 Padova | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Padova 1-0 Vicenza Virtus | Serie C - Girone A |
| May 25, 2024 | Padova 0-1 Vicenza Virtus | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 22, 2024 | Vicenza Virtus 2-0 Padova | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Mar 6, 2024 | Padova 1-1 Vicenza Virtus | Serie C - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Padova vs Vicenza Virtus on Aug 10, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Padova score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Vicenza Virtus score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Padova | 1.2 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Vicenza Virtus | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Padova sit 11th in Serie B (7 points from 6 matches) and Vicenza Virtus sit 16th (5 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Padova | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 7 |
| 16 | Vicenza Virtus | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 5 |
A question about Padova vs Vicenza Virtus?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Padova vs Vicenza Virtus?
- The Footlab AI model makes Padova the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Vicenza Virtus.
- Where and when is Padova vs Vicenza Virtus played?
- Padova vs Vicenza Virtus is played on December 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Euganeo, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.