Assyriska FF vs Hammarby Talang: prediction and stats
Ettan - NorraNorra - 30Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Södertälje Fotbollsarena, Södertälje
The Footlab model makes Hammarby Talang the favourite at 64%, against 19% for a draw and 17% for Assyriska FF. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Assyriska FF vs Hammarby Talang?
Hammarby Talang starts as the favourite with a 181-point Elo edge (1,784 vs 1,602).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Assyriska FF have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Hammarby Talang have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gefle IF(home) | 1-2 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 15, 2026 | IF Karlstad(away) | 2-0 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sollentuna(home) | 3-0 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FBK Karlstad(away) | 2-0 | Ettan - Norra |
| Jul 19, 2026 | AFC Eskilstuna(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Piteå(home) | 1-1 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 14, 2026 | AFC Eskilstuna(away) | 0-1 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FBK Karlstad(home) | 1-1 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Arlanda(home) | 5-1 | Ettan - Norra |
| Jun 26, 2026 | FBK Karlstad(away) | 7-0 | Ettan - Norra |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Assyriska FF win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Hammarby Talang win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Hammarby Talang 4-0 Assyriska FF | Ettan - Norra |
| Sep 1, 2025 | Hammarby Talang 4-0 Assyriska FF | Ettan - Norra |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Assyriska FF 1-3 Hammarby Talang | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Assyriska FF 1-0 Hammarby Talang | Ettan - Norra |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Hammarby Talang 5-0 Assyriska FF | Ettan - Norra |
| Sep 26, 2021 | Assyriska FF 1-0 Hammarby Talang | Ettan - Norra |
Last archived meeting: Hammarby Talang vs Assyriska FF on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Assyriska FF score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hammarby Talang score 2.4 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Assyriska FF | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Hammarby Talang | 2.4 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Assyriska FF sit 9th in Ettan - Norra (23 points from 18 matches) and Hammarby Talang sit 1st (37 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hammarby Talang | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 45 | 15 | 37 |
| 9 | Assyriska FF | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 30 | 31 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Assyriska FF vs Hammarby Talang?
- The Footlab model makes Hammarby Talang the favourite at 64%, against 19% for a draw and 17% for Assyriska FF.
- Where and when is Assyriska FF vs Hammarby Talang played?
- Assyriska FF vs Hammarby Talang is played on November 8, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Södertälje Fotbollsarena, in the Ettan - Norra.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.