Stocksund vs FBK Karlstad: prediction and stats
Ettan - NorraNorra - 30Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Danderyds Gymnasium, Danderyd
The Footlab model makes FBK Karlstad the favourite at 53%, against 21% for a draw and 26% for Stocksund. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stocksund vs FBK Karlstad?
FBK Karlstad starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (1,627 vs 1,493).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stocksund have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; FBK Karlstad have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vasalund(away) | 3-4 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Karlberg(away) | 0-2 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gefle IF(home) | 5-0 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Karlberg(home) | 0-2 | Ettan - Norra |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sollentuna(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Arlanda(away) | 1-5 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 19, 2026 | GIF Sundsvall(home) | 1-0 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Enköping(home) | 2-0 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hammarby Talang(away) | 1-1 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Assyriska FF(home) | 0-2 | Ettan - Norra |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Stocksund win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 FBK Karlstad win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | FBK Karlstad 1-0 Stocksund | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Stocksund 2-2 FBK Karlstad | Ettan - Norra |
| Apr 14, 2024 | FBK Karlstad 4-2 Stocksund | Ettan - Norra |
Last archived meeting: FBK Karlstad vs Stocksund on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stocksund score 1.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; FBK Karlstad score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stocksund | 1.8 | 2.1 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| FBK Karlstad | 1.5 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stocksund sit 16th in Ettan - Norra (11 points from 18 matches) and FBK Karlstad sit 7th (28 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | FBK Karlstad | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 28 | 28 |
| 16 | Stocksund | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 36 | 44 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stocksund vs FBK Karlstad?
- The Footlab model makes FBK Karlstad the favourite at 53%, against 21% for a draw and 26% for Stocksund.
- Where and when is Stocksund vs FBK Karlstad played?
- Stocksund vs FBK Karlstad is played on November 8, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Danderyds Gymnasium, in the Ettan - Norra.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.