Järfälla vs Vasalund: prediction and stats
Ettan - NorraNorra - 30Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Järfällavallen, Järfälla
The Footlab model makes Vasalund the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Järfälla. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Järfälla vs Vasalund?
Vasalund starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,638 vs 1,528).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Järfälla have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Vasalund have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Stockholm Internazionale(away) | 0-2 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sollentuna(away) | 1-2 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 8, 2026 | IF Karlstad(home) | 1-4 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stockholm Internazionale(home) | 0-4 | Ettan - Norra |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Umeå FC(away) | 3-1 | Ettan - Norra |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Stocksund(home) | 4-3 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 20, 2026 | IFK Norrkoping(home) | 1-2 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Piteå(away) | 1-1 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Stockholm Internazionale(home) | 2-0 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Sollentuna(home) | 1-1 | Ettan - Norra |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Järfälla win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Vasalund win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 3, 2026 | Vasalund 3-1 Järfälla | Ettan - Norra |
How many goals should we expect?
Järfälla score 1.3 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Vasalund score 1.4 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Järfälla | 1.3 | 2.5 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Vasalund | 1.4 | 1.8 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Järfälla sit 14th in Ettan - Norra (15 points from 18 matches) and Vasalund sit 10th (23 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Vasalund | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 23 |
| 14 | Järfälla | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 39 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Järfälla vs Vasalund?
- The Footlab model makes Vasalund the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Järfälla.
- Where and when is Järfälla vs Vasalund played?
- Järfälla vs Vasalund is played on November 8, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Järfällavallen, in the Ettan - Norra.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.