Sollentuna vs Arlanda: prediction and stats
Ettan - NorraNorra - 30Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Sollentunavallen, Sollentuna
The Footlab model makes Arlanda the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Sollentuna. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sollentuna vs Arlanda?
Arlanda starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (1,665 vs 1,548).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sollentuna have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Arlanda have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | IF Karlstad(home) | 2-1 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Orebro SK(home) | 1-4 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Järfälla(home) | 2-1 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Assyriska FF(away) | 0-3 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Vasalund(away) | 1-1 | Ettan - Norra |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FBK Karlstad(home) | 5-1 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Ostersunds FK(home) | 1-2 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Stockholm Internazionale(away) | 1-4 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Piteå(home) | 0-0 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Hammarby Talang(away) | 1-5 | Ettan - Norra |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Sollentuna win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Arlanda win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Arlanda 1-1 Sollentuna | Ettan - Norra |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Sollentuna 2-2 Arlanda | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Arlanda 2-2 Sollentuna | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Sollentuna 2-0 Arlanda | Ettan - Norra |
| May 16, 2025 | Arlanda 2-2 Sollentuna | Ettan - Norra |
How many goals should we expect?
Sollentuna score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Arlanda score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sollentuna | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Arlanda | 1.7 | 1.3 | 7 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sollentuna sit 12th in Ettan - Norra (20 points from 18 matches) and Arlanda sit 4th (33 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Arlanda | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 30 | 20 | 33 |
| 12 | Sollentuna | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 25 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sollentuna vs Arlanda?
- The Footlab model makes Arlanda the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Sollentuna.
- Where and when is Sollentuna vs Arlanda played?
- Sollentuna vs Arlanda is played on November 8, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Sollentunavallen, in the Ettan - Norra.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.