Kalamata vs Olympiakos Piraeus: prediction and stats
Super League 1Regular Season - 16Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Gipedo Messiniakos, Kalamata
The Footlab model makes Olympiakos Piraeus the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Kalamata. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kalamata vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
Olympiakos Piraeus starts as the favourite with a 190-point Elo edge (2,098 vs 1,908).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kalamata have 12 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Olympiakos Piraeus have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Aris Thessalonikis(home) | 2-3 | Super League 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Panetolikos(home) | 4-2 | Cup |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Volos NFC(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Iraklis 1908(home) | 1-0 | Super League 2 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Marko(away) | 0-0 | Super League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Atromitos(home) | 1-0 | Super League 1 |
| Aug 11, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Antwerp(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Kalamata win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Olympiakos Piraeus win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2020 | Olympiakos Piraeus 4-1 Kalamata | Cup |
| Jan 8, 2020 | Kalamata 0-2 Olympiakos Piraeus | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Olympiakos Piraeus vs Kalamata on Jan 15, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
Kalamata score 1.7 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Olympiakos Piraeus score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalamata | 1.7 | 0.5 | 11 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| Olympiakos Piraeus | 0.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kalamata sit 9th in Super League 1 (0 points from 1 matches) and Olympiakos Piraeus sit 6th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Kalamata | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kalamata vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
- The Footlab model makes Olympiakos Piraeus the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Kalamata.
- Where and when is Kalamata vs Olympiakos Piraeus played?
- Kalamata vs Olympiakos Piraeus is played on January 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Gipedo Messiniakos, in the Super League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.