Aston Villa U21 vs Sporting CP B: prediction and stats
Premier League International CupGroup StageKick-off on January 12, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Bodymoor Heath Training Ground, Bodymoor Heath, Warwickshire
The Footlab model makes Sporting CP B the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Aston Villa U21. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aston Villa U21 vs Sporting CP B?
Sporting CP B starts as the favourite with a 163-point Elo edge (1,879 vs 1,716).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aston Villa U21 have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Sporting CP B have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Brighton U21(home) | 2-1 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Wigan(away) | 2-3 | EFL Trophy |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Tamworth(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 1, 2026 | Manchester City U21(home) | 2-3 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Southampton U21(away) | 3-3 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Penafiel(away) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chaves(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | AVS(away) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Alverca(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Academico Viseu(away) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Aston Villa U21 score 1.9 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting CP B score 0.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa U21 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Sporting CP B | 0.4 | 1.0 | 3 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aston Villa U21 vs Sporting CP B?
- The Footlab model makes Sporting CP B the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Aston Villa U21.
- Where and when is Aston Villa U21 vs Sporting CP B played?
- Aston Villa U21 vs Sporting CP B is played on January 12, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Bodymoor Heath Training Ground, in the Premier League International Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 19, 2026Sunderland U211-1Jong PSV U21
- Aug 26, 2026Fulham U21vsBorussia Dortmund II
- Sep 2, 2026Aston Villa U21vsBrondby U21
- Sep 2, 2026Crystal Palace U21vsParis Saint-Germain U21
- Sep 2, 2026Everton U21vsMilan II
- Sep 15, 2026Tottenham Hotspur U21vsDinamo Zagreb U21
- Sep 15, 2026Aston Villa U21vsReal Sociedad II
- Sep 16, 2026Stoke City U21vsBorussia M'gladbach II