Match

Aston Villa U21 vs Sporting CP B: prediction and stats

Premier League International CupGroup StageKick-off on January 12, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Bodymoor Heath Training Ground, Bodymoor Heath, Warwickshire

Aston Villa U21Sporting CP B

The Footlab model makes Sporting CP B the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Aston Villa U21. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Aston Villa U21 vs Sporting CP B?

Sporting CP B starts as the favourite with a 163-point Elo edge (1,879 vs 1,716).

Aston Villa U21 win20 %
Draw21 %
Sporting CP B win59 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aston Villa U21 have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Sporting CP B have 3, 1 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Aston Villa U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Brighton U21(home)2-1Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026Wigan(away)2-3EFL Trophy
Jul 21, 2026Tamworth(away)2-1Friendlies Clubs
May 1, 2026Manchester City U21(home)2-3Premier League 2 Division One
Apr 24, 2026Southampton U21(away)3-3Premier League 2 Division One
Sporting CP B
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Penafiel(away)0-2Segunda Liga
Aug 15, 2026Chaves(home)1-0Segunda Liga
Aug 9, 2026AVS(away)1-0Segunda Liga
Aug 1, 2026Alverca(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026Academico Viseu(away)0-0Segunda Liga

How many goals should we expect?

Aston Villa U21 score 1.9 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting CP B score 0.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Aston Villa U211.92.0211/1511/15
Sporting CP B0.41.033/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Aston Villa U21 vs Sporting CP B?
The Footlab model makes Sporting CP B the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Aston Villa U21.
Where and when is Aston Villa U21 vs Sporting CP B played?
Aston Villa U21 vs Sporting CP B is played on January 12, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Bodymoor Heath Training Ground, in the Premier League International Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Aston Villa U21 and Sporting CP B

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