Aston Villa vs Leeds: result 2-3 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 23Kick-off on December 23, 2018 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Villa Park, Birmingham
Full time
What was the result of Aston Villa vs Leeds?
Leeds won 2-3 on December 23, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 5′T. AbrahamAston Villa
- 17′C. HourihaneAston Villa
- 56′J. ClarkeLeeds
- 61′P. JanssonLeeds
- 90′K. RoofeLeeds
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aston Villa have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Leeds have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2018 | Stoke City(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Dec 7, 2018 | West Brom(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Dec 1, 2018 | Middlesbrough(away) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Nov 28, 2018 | Nottingham Forest(home) | 5-5 | Championship |
| Nov 25, 2018 | Birmingham(home) | 4-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2018 | Bolton(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Dec 8, 2018 | QPR(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Dec 1, 2018 | Sheffield Utd(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Nov 27, 2018 | Reading(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Nov 24, 2018 | Bristol City(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Aston Villa win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Leeds win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2018 | Aston Villa 1-0 Leeds | Championship |
| Dec 1, 2017 | Leeds 1-1 Aston Villa | Championship |
| Dec 29, 2016 | Aston Villa 1-1 Leeds | Championship |
| Dec 3, 2016 | Leeds 2-0 Aston Villa | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Aston Villa score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Leeds score 1.4 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 2.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Leeds | 1.4 | 0.9 | 7 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy