Aston Villa vs Lille: result 2-1 and analysis
UEFA Europa Conference LeagueQuarter-finalsKick-off on April 11, 2024 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Villa Park, Birmingham
Full time
What was the result of Aston Villa vs Lille?
Aston Villa won 2-1 on April 11, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 13′O. WatkinsAston Villa
- 56′J. McGinnAston Villa
- 84′B. DiakitéLille
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aston Villa have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Lille have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2024 | Brentford(home) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Apr 3, 2024 | Manchester City(away) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Wolves(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Mar 17, 2024 | West Ham(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Mar 14, 2024 | Ajax(home) | 4-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2024 | Marseille(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Lens(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Stade Brestois 29(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 14, 2024 | Sturm Graz(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Rennes(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Aston Villa score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Lille score 1.8 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 1.9 | 1.7 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Lille | 1.8 | 0.9 | 7 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy