Match

Aston Villa vs Viking: prediction and stats

UEFA Champions LeagueLeague Stage - 3Kick-off on October 21, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Villa Park, Birmingham

Aston VillaViking

The Footlab AI model makes Aston Villa the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Viking. The most likely score is 1-1. If Aston Villa wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,546 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Aston Villa vs Viking?

On Elo ratings, Aston Villa has 2,279 points and Viking 2,246.

53%23%24%
Aston Villa winDrawViking win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Aston Villa vs Viking

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Aston Villa

4-2-3-1
  1. 11N. Jackson
  1. 8B. Kamara
  2. 7J. McGinn
  3. 44J. Manzambi
  4. 6R. Barkley
  5. 19I. Mbaye
  1. 3V. Lindelöf
  2. 2M. Cash
  3. 29A. Wan-Bissaka
  4. 14Pau Torres
  1. 1Z. Suzuki

Viking

4-3-3
  1. 20P. Christiansen
  2. 10Z. Tripić
  3. 22E. Botheim
  1. 7K. Askildsen
  2. 8J. Bell
  3. 16H. Bjørdal
  1. 6G. Stensness
  2. 5H. Heggheim
  3. 28K. Haugen
  4. 25H. Falchener
  1. 1A. Østbø

Computed on October 17, 2026 at 05:11 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aston Villa have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Viking have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Aston Villa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 14, 2026Fenerbahçe(home)6-0UEFA Champions League
Oct 10, 2026Brentford(home)2-2Premier League
Oct 2, 2026Sevilla(away)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026Tottenham(away)3-2Premier League
Sep 16, 2026Coventry(away)3-1League Cup
Viking
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 13, 2026Bayern München(home)3-3UEFA Champions League
Oct 9, 2026Brann(away)2-0Eliteserien
Oct 1, 2026Madla(away)3-0NM Cupen
Sep 20, 2026Lillestrom(home)3-0Eliteserien
Sep 13, 2026Kristiansund BK(home)8-1Eliteserien

How many goals should we expect?

Aston Villa score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Viking score 2.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Aston Villa1.91.7211/1513/15
Viking2.51.1411/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Aston Villa sit 3rd in UEFA Champions League (6 points from 2 matches) and Viking sit 27th (1 point from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Aston Villa2200926
27Viking2011461

A question about Aston Villa vs Viking?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Aston Villa vs Viking?
The Footlab AI model makes Aston Villa the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Viking.
Where and when is Aston Villa vs Viking played?
Aston Villa vs Viking is played on October 21, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Villa Park, in the UEFA Champions League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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