Match

Lille vs Galatasaray: prediction and stats

UEFA Champions LeagueLeague Stage - 3Kick-off on October 21, 2026 at 04:45 PM (UTC)Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Villeneuve d'Ascq

LilleGalatasaray

The Footlab AI model makes Lille the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Galatasaray. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lille wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lille vs Galatasaray?

On Elo ratings, Lille has 2,135 points and Galatasaray 2,083.

54%23%23%
Lille winDrawGalatasaray win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Lille vs Galatasaray

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Lille

4-2-3-1
  1. 18A. Ueda
  1. 6N. Bentaleb
  2. 10H. Haraldsson
  3. 17N. Mukau
  4. 7D. Bakwa
  5. 21B. André
  1. 4Alexsandro Ribeiro
  2. 15R. Perraud
  3. 3N. Ngoy
  4. 38M. Goffi
  1. 1B. Özer

Galatasaray

4-2-3-1
  1. 45V. Osimhen
  1. 11Y. Akgün
  2. 34L. Torreira
  3. 27Rafael Leão
  4. 83A. Batrakov
  5. 99M. Lemina
  1. 6D. Sánchez
  2. 4I. Jakobs
  3. 53B. Yılmaz
  4. 17E. Elmalı
  1. 1U. Çakır

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:44 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lille have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Galatasaray have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lille
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 13, 2026Arsenal(away)0-3UEFA Champions League
Oct 10, 2026Le Havre(home)1-0Ligue 1
Oct 2, 2026Zulte Waregem(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Sep 20, 2026Nice(away)1-2Ligue 1
Sep 13, 2026Estac Troyes(home)2-0Ligue 1
Galatasaray
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 13, 2026Barcelona(home)1-4UEFA Champions League
Oct 9, 2026Kasımpaşa(home)3-1Süper Lig
Oct 2, 2026Pendikspor(away)3-3Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026Trabzonspor(away)0-4Süper Lig
Sep 13, 2026Kocaelispor(home)1-0Süper Lig

How many goals should we expect?

Lille score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Galatasaray score 2.0 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Lille1.71.367/158/15
Galatasaray2.02.1210/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lille sit 34th in UEFA Champions League (0 points from 2 matches) and Galatasaray sit 35th (0 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
34Lille2002260
35Galatasaray2002270

A question about Lille vs Galatasaray?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lille vs Galatasaray?
The Footlab AI model makes Lille the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Galatasaray.
Where and when is Lille vs Galatasaray played?
Lille vs Galatasaray is played on October 21, 2026 at 04:45 PM (UTC) at Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy, in the UEFA Champions League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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