Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest: result 2-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 23, 2017 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Villa Park, Birmingham
Full time
What was the result of Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest?
Aston Villa won 2-1 on September 23, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 15′A. AdomahAston Villa
- 52′Daryl Michael MurphyNottingham Forest
- 60′C. HourihaneAston Villa
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aston Villa have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Nottingham Forest have 8, 0 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2017 | Middlesbrough(home) | 0-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 16, 2017 | Barnsley(away) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2017 | Middlesbrough(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 9, 2017 | Brentford(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Aug 25, 2017 | Bristol City(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2017 | Chelsea(away) | 1-5 | League Cup |
| Sep 16, 2017 | Wolves(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2017 | Sunderland(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 9, 2017 | Sheffield Wednesday(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Aug 26, 2017 | Leeds(home) | 0-2 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Aston Villa win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Nottingham Forest win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2017 | Nottingham Forest 2-1 Aston Villa | Championship |
| Sep 11, 2016 | Aston Villa 2-2 Nottingham Forest | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa on Feb 4, 2017
How many goals should we expect?
Aston Villa score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Nottingham Forest score 1.5 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Nottingham Forest | 1.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy