Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The City Ground, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire
The Footlab AI model makes Arsenal the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Nottingham Forest. The most likely score is 1-1. If Arsenal wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal?
Arsenal starts as the favourite with a 252-point Elo edge (2,459 vs 2,207).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Nottingham Forest
3-4-2-1- 19L. Delap
- 3N. Williams
- 10M. Gibbs-White
- 14D. Ndoye
- 24J. McAtee
- 21X. Schlager
- 27D. Muñoz
- 5Murillo
- 23Jair
- 2O. Diomande
- 26M. Sels
Arsenal
4-2-3-1- 29K. Havertz
- 8M. Ødegaard
- 7B. Saka
- 41D. Rice
- 17C. Tzolis
- 39Bruno Guimarães
- 6Gabriel Magalhães
- 33R. Calafiori
- 15E. Konsa
- 4B. White
- 1David Raya
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 07:20 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nottingham Forest have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Arsenal have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Coventry(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Aston Villa(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Tottenham(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Liverpool(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Leeds(home) | 0-2 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Brighton(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Ipswich(away) | 4-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Sunderland(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Napoli(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Chelsea(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Nottingham Forest wins, 2 draws, 4 Arsenal wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Nottingham Forest 0-0 Arsenal | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Arsenal 3-0 Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
| Feb 26, 2025 | Nottingham Forest 0-0 Arsenal | Premier League |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Arsenal 3-0 Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
| Jan 30, 2024 | Nottingham Forest 1-2 Arsenal | Premier League |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Arsenal 2-1 Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nottingham Forest score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Arsenal score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Arsenal | 1.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nottingham Forest sit 13th in Premier League (5 points from 5 matches) and Arsenal sit 2nd (12 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Arsenal | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 12 |
| 13 | Nottingham Forest | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
A question about Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal?
- The Footlab AI model makes Arsenal the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Nottingham Forest.
- Where and when is Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal played?
- Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The City Ground, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.