Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest: result 2-2 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 11, 2016 at 12:15 PM (UTC)Villa Park, Birmingham
Full time
What was the result of Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest?
Aston Villa and Nottingham Forest drew 2-2 on September 11, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 57′A. VelliosNottingham Forest
- 72′Ross McCormackAston Villa
- 74′Rudy GestedeAston Villa
- 87′H. LansburyNottingham Forest
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aston Villa have 1 wins, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Nottingham Forest have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 2016 | Bristol City(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Aug 20, 2016 | Derby(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Aug 16, 2016 | Huddersfield(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Aug 13, 2016 | Rotherham(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Aug 10, 2016 | Luton(away) | 1-3 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 2016 | Leeds(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Aug 23, 2016 | Millwall(away) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 20, 2016 | Wigan(home) | 4-3 | Championship |
| Aug 16, 2016 | Brentford(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Aug 12, 2016 | Brighton(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Aston Villa score 0.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Nottingham Forest score 1.6 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 0.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Nottingham Forest | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy