Aston Villa vs Zrinjski: result 1-0 and analysis
UEFA Europa Conference LeagueGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on October 5, 2023 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Villa Park, Birmingham
Full time
What was the result of Aston Villa vs Zrinjski?
Aston Villa won 1-0 on October 5, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 90′J. McGinnAston Villa
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aston Villa have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Zrinjski have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2023 | Brighton(home) | 6-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 27, 2023 | Everton(home) | 1-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Chelsea(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 21, 2023 | Legia Warszawa(away) | 2-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Crystal Palace(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2023 | Igman Konjic(away) | 2-0 | Premijer Liga |
| Sep 27, 2023 | Tuzla City(away) | 4-2 | Premijer Liga |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo(home) | 2-1 | Premijer Liga |
| Sep 21, 2023 | AZ Alkmaar(home) | 4-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Sep 16, 2023 | FK Sarajevo(away) | 0-1 | Premijer Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Aston Villa score 2.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Zrinjski score 2.1 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 2.6 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 13/15 |
| Zrinjski | 2.1 | 1.6 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Zrinjski | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 7 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy