La Luz vs Miramar: prediction and stats
Segunda División2nd Phase - 24Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Parque Luis Rivero, Montevideo
The Footlab AI model makes Miramar the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for La Luz. The most likely score is 1-1. If Miramar wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,810 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win La Luz vs Miramar?
Miramar starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (1,707 vs 1,579).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for La Luz vs Miramar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
La Luz
Not enough data to predict the La Luz lineup.
Miramar
Not enough data to predict the Miramar lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 06:08 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, La Luz have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Miramar have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Tacuarembo(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Plaza Colonia(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | CA River Plate(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Cerrito(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Atenas(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Cerrito(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Auckland City(home) | 0-2 | National League - National |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atenas(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ferrymead Bays(away) | 4-1 | National League - National |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Paysandu(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 La Luz wins, 1 draw, 0 Miramar wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Miramar 0-1 La Luz | Segunda División |
| Jul 29, 2022 | Miramar 1-1 La Luz | Segunda División |
| May 8, 2022 | La Luz 3-1 Miramar | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
La Luz score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Miramar score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Luz | 1.0 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Miramar | 1.2 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
La Luz sit 9th in Segunda División (31 points from 23 matches) and Miramar sit 11th (29 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | La Luz | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 25 | 31 |
| 11 | Miramar | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 27 | 29 |
A question about La Luz vs Miramar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for La Luz vs Miramar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Miramar the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for La Luz.
- Where and when is La Luz vs Miramar played?
- La Luz vs Miramar is played on October 25, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC) at Parque Luis Rivero, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.