CA River Plate vs Uruguay Montevideo: prediction and stats
Segunda División2nd Phase - 24Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Parque Federico Omar Saroldi, Montevideo
The Footlab AI model makes CA River Plate the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Uruguay Montevideo. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,800 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CA River Plate vs Uruguay Montevideo?
CA River Plate starts as the favourite with a 149-point Elo edge (1,647 vs 1,499).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for CA River Plate vs Uruguay Montevideo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
CA River Plate
4-3-3- 19R. Pollero
- 9T. Correa
- 18Inti Alessio López Pose
- 20L. Lemos
- 22M. Alfonso
- 10A. Vera
- 3D. Gissi
- 2Facundo Damián Pérez Medina
- 28T. Olmos
- 13C. Almeida
- 1D. Frascarelli
Uruguay Montevideo
Not enough data to predict the Uruguay Montevideo lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 05:29 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CA River Plate have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Uruguay Montevideo have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Plaza Colonia(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Boston River(away) | 0-0 | Copa Uruguay |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Oriental(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | La Luz(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Colón(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Oriental(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Colón(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Fenix(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Rentistas(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Miramar(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 CA River Plate wins, 1 draw, 0 Uruguay Montevideo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | Uruguay Montevideo 1-1 CA River Plate | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Uruguay Montevideo vs CA River Plate on Jul 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
CA River Plate score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Uruguay Montevideo score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CA River Plate | 1.4 | 0.9 | 8 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Uruguay Montevideo | 0.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CA River Plate sit 5th in Segunda División (33 points from 23 matches) and Uruguay Montevideo sit 14th (17 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | CA River Plate | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 35 | 29 | 33 |
| 14 | Uruguay Montevideo | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 34 | 17 |
A question about CA River Plate vs Uruguay Montevideo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CA River Plate vs Uruguay Montevideo?
- The Footlab AI model makes CA River Plate the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Uruguay Montevideo.
- Where and when is CA River Plate vs Uruguay Montevideo played?
- CA River Plate vs Uruguay Montevideo is played on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Parque Federico Omar Saroldi, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.