Atlante FC vs Atletico San Luis: prediction and stats
Liga MXApertura - 14Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Banorte, Mexico City
The Footlab model makes Atlante FC the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Atletico San Luis. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlante FC vs Atletico San Luis?
Atlante FC starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,927 vs 1,817).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlante FC have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Atletico San Luis have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tigres UANL(away) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Toluca(home) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Minnesota United FC(away) | 1-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Real Salt Lake(away) | 0-4 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Vancouver Whitecaps(away) | 1-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Club America(away) | 0-3 | Liga MX |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Orlando City SC(away) | 2-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Nashville SC(away) | 1-4 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Inter Miami(away) | 2-4 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Club Tijuana(home) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Atlante FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Atletico San Luis win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2019 | Atletico San Luis 0-0 Atlante FC | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Nov 26, 2018 | Atlante FC 2-0 Atletico San Luis | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Nov 23, 2018 | Atletico San Luis 3-0 Atlante FC | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Oct 6, 2018 | Atlante FC 2-3 Atletico San Luis | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Jan 27, 2018 | Atlante FC 3-1 Atletico San Luis | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 12, 2017 | Atletico San Luis 2-0 Atlante FC | Liga de Expansión MX |
Last archived meeting: Atletico San Luis vs Atlante FC on Mar 9, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Atlante FC score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico San Luis score 1.1 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlante FC | 1.2 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Atletico San Luis | 1.1 | 2.0 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atlante FC sit 10th in Liga MX (4 points from 3 matches) and Atletico San Luis sit 15th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Atlante FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 13 | Atlante FC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
| 15 | Atletico San Luis | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| 16 | Atletico San Luis | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlante FC vs Atletico San Luis?
- The Footlab model makes Atlante FC the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Atletico San Luis.
- Where and when is Atlante FC vs Atletico San Luis played?
- Atlante FC vs Atletico San Luis is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Banorte, in the Liga MX.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.