Necaxa vs FC Juarez: prediction and stats
Liga MXApertura - 14Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Victoria, Aguascalientes
The Footlab AI model makes Necaxa the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for FC Juarez. The most likely score is 1-1. If Necaxa wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Necaxa vs FC Juarez?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Necaxa (1,819) and FC Juarez (1,817).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Necaxa vs FC Juarez
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Necaxa
4-3-3- 9J. Carranza
- 21M. Espíndola
- 99M. Rodríguez
- 16P. Pedraza
- 13Owen de Jesús González Ojeda
- 8L. Faravelli
- 5Kaiky Naves
- 33R. Martínez
- 3A. Oliveros
- 88C. Vargas
- 12L. Jiménez
FC Juarez
5-3-2- 19Ó. Estupiñán
- 11J. Rodríguez
- 6Monchu
- 5D. García
- 13Rodrigo Dourado
- 3J. Murillo
- 2G. Sepúlveda
- 33F. Nevárez
- 4A. Mayorga
- 26D. Piña
- 1S. Jurado
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 02:33 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Necaxa have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; FC Juarez have 4, 0 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2026 | Club America(home) | 2-4 | Liga MX |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Atletico San Luis(away) | 1-3 | Liga MX |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Puebla(home) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Tigres UANL(away) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Cruz Azul(home) | 1-3 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2026 | Leon(away) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Tigres UANL(home) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Santos Laguna(away) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Sep 5, 2026 | CF Pachuca(home) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Toluca(away) | 0-4 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Necaxa wins, 4 draws, 0 FC Juarez wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | FC Juarez 1-2 Necaxa | Liga MX |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Necaxa 1-1 FC Juarez | Liga MX |
| Apr 16, 2025 | FC Juarez 2-2 Necaxa | Liga MX |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Necaxa 3-0 FC Juarez | Liga MX |
| Feb 4, 2024 | FC Juarez 2-2 Necaxa | Liga MX |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Necaxa 1-1 FC Juarez | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Necaxa score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; FC Juarez score 1.1 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Necaxa | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| FC Juarez | 1.1 | 2.3 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Necaxa sit 17th in Liga MX (8 points from 10 matches) and FC Juarez sit 18th (3 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Necaxa | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 20 | 8 |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 | 25 | 3 |
A question about Necaxa vs FC Juarez?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Necaxa vs FC Juarez?
- The Footlab AI model makes Necaxa the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for FC Juarez.
- Where and when is Necaxa vs FC Juarez played?
- Necaxa vs FC Juarez is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Victoria, in the Liga MX.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.