U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Tigres UANL: prediction and stats
Liga MXApertura - 14Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico de Universitario, D.F.
The Footlab model makes U.N.A.M. - Pumas the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Tigres UANL. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Tigres UANL?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate U.N.A.M. - Pumas (1,956) and Tigres UANL (1,976).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, U.N.A.M. - Pumas have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Tigres UANL have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Club Queretaro(home) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Columbus Crew(away) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Cincinnati(away) | 0-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Charlotte(away) | 0-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Juarez(away) | 5-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Atlante FC(home) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Atlas(away) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Vancouver Whitecaps(home) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Minnesota United FC(home) | 0-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Real Salt Lake(home) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Tigres UANL win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | Tigres UANL 0-1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Liga MX |
| Sep 21, 2025 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1-1 Tigres UANL | Liga MX |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Tigres UANL 2-1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Liga MX |
| Sep 1, 2024 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1-3 Tigres UANL | Liga MX |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Tigres UANL 2-2 U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Liga MX |
| Dec 11, 2023 | Tigres UANL 1-1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Liga MX |
Last archived meeting: Tigres UANL vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas on Jan 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
U.N.A.M. - Pumas score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Tigres UANL score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Tigres UANL | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
U.N.A.M. - Pumas sit 4th in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Tigres UANL sit 16th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 9 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
| 14 | Tigres UANL | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 4 |
| 16 | Tigres UANL | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Tigres UANL?
- The Footlab model makes U.N.A.M. - Pumas the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Tigres UANL.
- Where and when is U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Tigres UANL played?
- U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Tigres UANL is played on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Olímpico de Universitario, in the Liga MX.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.