Atlántico vs Cibao: prediction and stats
Liga MayorRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Governador Roberto Santos, Salvador de Bahia, Bahia
The Footlab model makes Cibao the favourite at 58%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Atlántico. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlántico vs Cibao?
Cibao starts as the favourite with a 263-point Elo edge (1,817 vs 1,553).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlántico have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Cibao have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Delfines Del Este(home) | 0-0 | Liga Mayor |
| Dec 17, 2025 | Jarabacoa(home) | 1-1 | Liga Mayor |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Universidad O&M(away) | 2-0 | Liga Mayor |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Moca(away) | 0-1 | Liga Mayor |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Vega Real(away) | 1-0 | Liga Mayor |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Jarabacoa(away) | 2-0 | Liga Mayor |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Mount Pleasant Academy(away) | 2-1 | CONCACAF Caribbean Club Championship |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Cavalier(home) | 0-0 | CONCACAF Caribbean Club Championship |
| May 24, 2026 | Salcedo(home) | 2-1 | Liga Mayor |
| May 17, 2026 | Salcedo(away) | 0-2 | Liga Mayor |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Atlántico win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Cibao win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | Atlántico 0-5 Cibao | Liga Mayor |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Cibao 2-1 Atlántico | Liga Mayor |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Atlántico 2-2 Cibao | Copa LDF |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Atlántico 2-5 Cibao | Liga Mayor |
| Jul 16, 2024 | Cibao 4-0 Atlántico | Liga Mayor |
| Jun 30, 2024 | Cibao 0-0 Atlántico | Liga Mayor |
How many goals should we expect?
Atlántico score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Cibao score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlántico | 1.3 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Cibao | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atlántico sit 4th in Liga Mayor (1 points from 1 matches) and Cibao sit 1st (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cibao | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Atlántico | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlántico vs Cibao?
- The Footlab model makes Cibao the favourite at 58%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Atlántico.
- Where and when is Atlántico vs Cibao played?
- Atlántico vs Cibao is played on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Governador Roberto Santos, in the Liga Mayor.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.