Universidad O&M vs Moca: prediction and stats
Liga MayorRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Moca the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Universidad O&M. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Universidad O&M vs Moca?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Universidad O&M (1,537) and Moca (1,571).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Universidad O&M have 1 wins, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Moca have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Salcedo(away) | 1-3 | Liga Mayor |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Moca(home) | 1-1 | Liga Mayor |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Cibao(away) | 1-3 | Liga Mayor |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Delfines Del Este(away) | 2-2 | Liga Mayor |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Salcedo(home) | 1-3 | Liga Mayor |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Vega Real(home) | 0-0 | Liga Mayor |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Universidad O&M(away) | 1-1 | Liga Mayor |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Delfines Del Este(home) | 1-0 | Liga Mayor |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Atlético Pantoja(away) | 0-3 | Liga Mayor |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Cibao(home) | 2-2 | Liga Mayor |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Universidad O&M win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Moca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Universidad O&M 1-1 Moca | Liga Mayor |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Moca 1-3 Universidad O&M | Liga Mayor |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Universidad O&M 0-0 Moca | Liga Mayor |
| Dec 17, 2025 | Moca 1-3 Universidad O&M | Liga Mayor |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Universidad O&M 2-2 Moca | Liga Mayor |
| Sep 25, 2025 | Universidad O&M 1-2 Moca | CONCACAF Caribbean Club Championship |
Last archived meeting: Universidad O&M vs Moca on Apr 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Universidad O&M score 1.0 and concede 2.9 goals per match over their last 15; Moca score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad O&M | 1.0 | 2.9 | 1 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Moca | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Moca | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Universidad O&M vs Moca?
- The Footlab model makes Moca the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Universidad O&M.
- Where and when is Universidad O&M vs Moca played?
- Universidad O&M vs Moca is played on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga Mayor.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.