L'Aquila vs Montecchio Gallo: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 11Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Gran Sasso d'Italia, L’Aquila
The Footlab AI model makes L'Aquila the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Montecchio Gallo. The most likely score is 1-1. If L'Aquila wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,938 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win L'Aquila vs Montecchio Gallo?
L'Aquila starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,837 vs 1,737).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for L'Aquila vs Montecchio Gallo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
L'Aquila
Not enough data to predict the L'Aquila lineup.
Montecchio Gallo
Not enough data to predict the Montecchio Gallo lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 10:09 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, L'Aquila have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Montecchio Gallo have 3, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Recanatese(away) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Santegidiese(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Termoli Calcio(home) | 5-2 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Pietralunga(away) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Teramo(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Angelana(home) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Lanciano FC(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Notaresco(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Foligno Calcio(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Recanatese(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
How many goals should we expect?
L'Aquila score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Montecchio Gallo score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L'Aquila | 1.6 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Montecchio Gallo | 1.1 | 1.0 | 2 | 4/7 | 3/7 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
L'Aquila sit 1st in Serie D - Girone F (20 points from 8 matches) and Montecchio Gallo sit 9th (11 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L'Aquila | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 5 | 20 |
| 9 | Montecchio Gallo | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 11 |
A question about L'Aquila vs Montecchio Gallo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for L'Aquila vs Montecchio Gallo?
- The Footlab AI model makes L'Aquila the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Montecchio Gallo.
- Where and when is L'Aquila vs Montecchio Gallo played?
- L'Aquila vs Montecchio Gallo is played on November 8, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Gran Sasso d'Italia, in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.