Match

Vigor Senigallia vs Pietralunga: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 11Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Goffredo Bianchelli, Senigallia

Vigor SenigalliaPietralunga

The Footlab model makes Vigor Senigallia the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Pietralunga. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Vigor Senigallia vs Pietralunga?

Vigor Senigallia win42 %
Draw28 %
Pietralunga win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vigor Senigallia have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Pietralunga have 0, 0 and 0.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Vigor Senigallia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Unipomezia(away)3-3Serie D - Girone F
Apr 26, 2026Chieti(home)2-3Serie D - Girone F
Apr 19, 2026Castelfidardo Calcio(away)3-1Serie D - Girone F
Apr 12, 2026Atletico Ascoli(home)2-2Serie D - Girone F
Apr 2, 2026Recanatese(away)1-2Serie D - Girone F

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Vigor Senigallia3412139454049

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Vigor Senigallia vs Pietralunga?
The Footlab model makes Vigor Senigallia the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Pietralunga.
Where and when is Vigor Senigallia vs Pietralunga played?
Vigor Senigallia vs Pietralunga is played on November 8, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Goffredo Bianchelli, in the Serie D - Girone F.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Vigor Senigallia and Pietralunga

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